Kenyan may now have a sigh of relief after the latest study shows that Kenya already hit its Covid-19 peak.
The study done by the Ministry of Health and Kenya Medical Research Institute (Kemri), the peak occurred before the end of July. During that period the study says “some major urban counties”, with between 34 and 40 percent of residents being infected with the virus.
The researchers added that other parts of the country are likely to experience their peak in the next two to three months.
Despite an increase in infection in some urban counties, researchers note that severe cases and deaths have remained low. Therefore their analysis suggests that the Covid-19 burden in Kenya may be far less than earlier projected.
“A similar scenario across sub-Saharan Africa would have implications for balancing the consequences of restrictions with those of Covid-19,” wrote the research team.
The research team consisted of 24 Kemri research scientists and four officers from the Ministry of Health among them Dr. Mercy Mwangangi, Dr. Rahid Aman, Dr. Patrick Amoth, and Dr. Kasera Kadondi.
According to Infectious disease and statistical modeling specialists, to reach the peak of the pandemic curve, it means that the number of new cases has begun to level off rather than continue to increase on an upward trajectory.
The positivity rate in Kenya against the samples tested has been on the downward movement with a correspondingly low number of cases
In the last one week cases have reduced significantly by around 21 percent from 52,544 to 41,614. Covid-19 related deaths have also decreased by 13 percent from 1562 to 1363.
Before the Ministry of Health projected that Kenya should currently be at the peak of Covid-19 infections but on the contrary, the numbers have been falling.
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Kenya’s Covid-19 confirmed cases have been on an average between 150 and 300 daily.
On Saturday the country recorded 136 cases from 3707 tested samples during the preceding 24 hours.
Since the Covid-19 started spreading rapidly outside China where the first case was recorded, to the other parts of the world, scientists have been using mathematical models not to show the trajectory of the virus in various countries, with many using the word “flattening the curve.”
Related:Nearly Half Of Kenyans Could Have Infected By Covid-19 At Peak – Expert
