Details have emerged why the Azimio presidential candidate Raila Odinga and the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) chief William Ruto may not win on first round no matter what.
The details released by Ipsos Synovate reveal that the opposition leader and the deputy president must first convert some good number of votes if they are to win on the first round.
According to the polls, Raila currently leads with 47% followed closely by Ruto at 41%. Out of that, the undecided voters stand at 4% and according to the poll, Raila has to convince half of the undecided voters to win on first round.
At the same time, Ruto has to convince half of the undecided voters to force a run-off. Consequently, president Uhuru Kenyatta may just stay for longer in office if either Raila or Ruto convinces more than half of those voters to their side.
“From this research, if Mr Odinga converts half of the undecided voters he will have a first round win while of Mr Ruto will convert half of the undecided voters, he will force a re-run of the election,” Said Mr Muthoka, the director of research at Ipsos.
The survey was conducted across the 47 counties with 6,105 households being actively involved. The target was only registered voters on a face to face interviews.
According to the firm, Raila had an upper hand compared to Ruto due to his legacy as a nationalist and a democrat. On his side, Ruto presented hope due to his clarity on how to improve the lives of the citizens.